Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 8.073950 9.099116 10.320144 11.917946 14.013944 16.768882 20.862070
2024-12-15 7.662130 9.217254 11.324255 14.585675 19.986328 29.909100 55.711125
2024-12-22 6.707194 8.411291 10.929252 15.355304 24.388728 49.075582 292.947126
2024-12-29 6.286012 8.254102 11.469929 18.139401 37.140456 191.839228 NaN
2025-01-05 5.822437 7.938780 11.709796 20.902978 61.412765 NaN NaN
2025-01-12 5.211997 7.262999 11.113008 21.568042 90.477509 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 4.653086 6.576402 10.313874 21.275593 128.250540 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 4.513450 6.608867 11.063637 27.414561 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-02 4.549908 6.990972 12.903901 45.818458 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 4.391403 6.955309 13.736193 69.167293 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 4.182031 6.769026 14.077341 102.520030 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 3.951197 6.490663 14.006587 146.550297 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 3.673344 6.105822 13.585138 215.299110 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 3.500195 5.940563 13.986967 1177.228348 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 3.185151 5.377393 12.476738 530.984724 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 3.016704 5.153508 12.359657 17029.687928 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.845318 4.895005 11.979909 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.635741 4.512213 10.887183 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.439140 4.143657 9.782133 980.969032 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.375585 4.102845 10.156496 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.371320 4.214726 11.398966 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.307743 4.158391 11.767779 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.229052 4.048448 11.770739 NaN NaN NaN NaN